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Hawaii's Logistics Problem

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Hawaii's Logistics Problem

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0:00This is one of the most isolated supermarkets  on earth… but it sure doesn’t look like it.  
0:06After all, it’s in Hawaii which, despite its  name-recognition and visitor count, is, by  
0:11most definitions, the most remote major population  center on earth. There are more isolated islands  
0:17and archipelagos and atolls, but nowhere on earth  is there a concentration of a million or more  
0:23people farther from the next nearest concentration  of a million. It’s as far from Los Angeles as New  
0:29York, as far from Anchorage as Norway, as far  from Japan as Afghanistan. Between Hawaii and  
0:35the California coast, there’s truly nothing—no  towns, no people, not even a single island of  
0:41any size save for the few just off the coast of  Los Angeles. The shortest commercial international  
0:47flight from Hawaii is to a tiny atoll known as  Christmas Island, populated by just 7,000 people,  
0:53and that’s an anomaly. The next nearest  is to Majuro, in the Marshall Islands,  
0:57four and half hours away, but it’s not until  Fiji, a six-hour flight from Honolulu, that the  
1:03population comes even close to that of Hawaii.  That’s all to say: it’s weird how normal this  
1:09grocery store looks, considering where it is.  Isolation typically restricts convenience,  
1:16yet look inside and the shelves are stocked  essentially exactly the same as they’d be if  
1:20this was, say, a Safeway in Seattle. And  not just with the shelf-stable products.  
1:26Even these bananas originate from exactly  where they would for most of the continental  
1:30US—they’ve traveled from Ecuador so quickly, in  fact, that they’re not even ripe. It’s not until  
1:35one looks at the prices of perishables—$10 for a  gallon of whole milk—that anything deviates from  
1:41what would be the expectation on the mainland.  Hawaii is firmly integrated in the American  
1:46supply chain to the extent that differences  in its retail landscape are surprisingly  
1:50tough to come by. Dueling chicken retailers  Chick-fil-A and Raising Cane’s, for example,  
1:55recently expanded to the state—both of which have  next to no international presence, and therefore  
2:00no built-up international supply chains.  Neither has an overwhelming incentive to  
2:04expand to Hawaii—it is an untapped market, sure,  but there’s nothing about the state that would  
2:09make it worth it for either to develop a brand-new  system of sourcing and shipping product just to  
2:14open a couple dozen additional locations. So  this is as good a sign as any that somehow,  
2:20these isolated islands are so logistically linked  to the US that it’s just about as easy for a brand  
2:25to expand there as anywhere in the US.  And it’s true: Hawaii’s supply chain  
2:30offers a near-seamless experience  for its users—the shops, restaurants,  
2:34and other businesses operating in the state. But  the supply-chain itself is anything but normal.  
2:41Much of its uniqueness stems from one American  law known as the Jones Act. Its rules are simple:  
2:47with little exception, only ships registered  in the US, built in the US, and staffed by  
2:52Americans can transport goods between US ports.  The original idea was to protect the US merchant  
2:57marine and shipbuilding industries, partially to  keep competency in case major sealift capacity is  
3:02needed for a large-scale war abroad, but these  days this ends up being rather restrictive as  
3:07the vast majority of ocean-going container ships  are registered in countries with favorable tax  
3:11and labor policies like Panama or Liberia and  primarily staffed by mariners from low-wage  
3:16countries like the Philippines or India. What  this means in practice is that the industry  
3:21often ends up with exploitative labor practices,  environmentally-damaging construction processes,  
3:25and other undesired externalities, but the  end result is rock-bottom operating prices a  
3:31fraction of those of US ships. In fact, the cost  of operating a Jones-act compliant cargo ship is  
3:37estimated between three to six times the norm.  So in a free market, these ships simply wouldn’t  
3:44exist, they could never be competitive, if not for  this law. The total number of Jones-act compliant  
3:50container ships in the entire world is just 23,  and all but five of those are operated by one  
3:57of two companies: Matson and Pasha Hawaii. This pair of companies represent the vast  
4:03majority of inbound shipping capacity to Hawaii,  and yet they likely would not exist if not for  
4:07the Jones Act.  That’s because, even beyond the  normally lower operating cost of international  
4:12shipping companies, there’s great asymmetry of  demand across the Pacific. In September, 2024,  
4:18the average cost to ship a 40-foot container from  Shanghai to Los Angeles was about $6,000, whereas  
4:23shipping the same container on the same route in  reverse—Los Angeles to Shanghai—cost just $700.  
4:30That’s all down to supply and demand—North  America imports far more from Asia than Asia  
4:34does from North America, so ships typically  return west with far less. Hawaii is a rare  
4:40instance of westbound demand across the Pacific,  so if not for the Jones Act some international  
4:45shipping companies would likely add it as  a stop on the return trip to Asia to drop  
4:48off cargo on the typically-unprofitable leg.  But instead, Matson and Pasha Hawaii operate  
4:54the services, charging far, far more to  move the same 40-foot container. Now,  
5:00their services do differ slightly from  the global norm for container shipping,  
5:03largely since, normally, container shipping is  just not a very time-sensitive endeavor. Globally,  
5:08cargo ships operate at an average speed of just 15  knots, despite a typical vessel top-speed of over  
5:1320. This is since ocean shipping companies compete  primarily on cost, not speed, and operating slower  
5:19is more fuel efficient. Hawaii ships, meanwhile,  typically operate at over 20 knots in order to  
5:25transport goods to the state in just three or four  days. Uniquely, these ships do compete on speed  
5:31since they need to fit into the typical window  of time it takes to get perishable products from  
5:34distribution centers to stores. These bananas from  Ecuador, for example, likely left the country on  
5:39Dole’s dedicated container ship, the Dole Pacific,  up to their facility in San Diego. From there,  
5:44they might otherwise spend a few days getting  trucked to a grocery distribution center in,  
5:48say, Salt Lake City, wait around for a day, then  get trucked up to a grocery store in Missoula. So  
5:53the route to Hawaii is not necessarily that  much longer than that to an inland state—a  
5:58day or two to get up to Matson’s terminal in  Long Beach, four days to get to Honolulu. West  
6:02Coast ports like Long Beach and Oakland are major  logistics hubs, and three to four day proximity  
6:07to them is well within normal timeframes for  distribution. But what’s less normal is the cost. 
6:14Jones-act compliant operators have to pay high  shipbuilding costs, they have to pay high labor  
6:19costs, so they do what they can to reduce cost  where possible. For example, on some sailings,  
6:25they’ll return to the west coast at that  slower, more efficient speed. On a recent trip,  
6:29the Pasha George II left Long Beach on Wednesday  September 4th, sailed at 20 knots, then arrived  
6:34in Honolulu four days later on Sunday. Following  unloading and loading, it left Honolulu on Monday,  
6:40but only sailed at about 15 knots and didn’t get  back to Long Beach until the following Monday,  
6:45a week later. Hawaii doesn’t export much these  days, especially in terms of perishable goods, so  
6:50this slower speed is fine. As another technique,  Matson also services a unique route that helps  
6:55capture eastbound demand and therefore maximize  utilization, as certain continue on to Guam. Guam  
7:01is an American territory, and although it has  far lower demand than Hawaii—both due to lower  
7:05population and more international imports from  nearby nations like Japan—it does still import  
7:10plenty from the mainland. But after calling  at Guam, Matson’s ships don’t continue back  
7:14to the US, they go on to the Japanese island of  Okinawa—which also imports plenty from the US due  
7:19to the massive US-military presence there—before  continuing on to Shanghai. There, the world’s  
7:25busiest container port, they’ve built a small  niche as the provider of the fastest US-bound  
7:30services. While most container traffic is not very  time-dependent, on such a massive route, there’s  
7:35clearly some. For much of recent history Matson  was able to provide this speed because their ships  
7:40are comparatively small. Shanghai naturally is  a fairly shallow-water port, so the larger ships  
7:45used by competitors couldn’t load to full capacity  there, and therefore they’d typically make another  
7:50stop to load fully before continuing on to North  America. Shanghai has since artificially deepened  
7:54its port, making this less so the case, but  Matson still touts speed due to faster loading  
7:59times from their smaller vessel size, full 20-knot  operating speeds, and then on the US-side they  
8:04operate their own dedicated terminals at ports  like Oakland and Long Beach, allowing them to  
8:08avoid the kind of port congestion that reached  headlines during COVID. In fact, freight rates  
8:12reached such astronomical heights during COVID  that, despite their high operating costs, Matson  
8:17could briefly meaningfully compete, especially  given their speed, and they took some capacity  
8:22away from Hawaii to expand service from Asia.  But now back in normal times, strategies such  
8:27as their Asia service are increasingly crucial for  Matson as they get used to competition—after all,  
8:32for much of its history, Matson enjoyed a  near-complete monopoly on Hawaii shipping  
8:36services, and Pasha Hawaii’s challenge  since it started service in 2005 has  
8:41pushed prices down and introduced genuine  competition for the first time in a while.  
8:45But monopolies still exist in Hawaiian logistics.  You see, every single container from the  
8:50continental US first arrives here, at the port  of Honolulu on Oahu. But Hawaii also encompasses  
8:57Kauai, Maui, and the Big Island, plus a few other  more minor islands. So to get containers beyond  
9:02Honolulu, one must hire a barge, and there’s one,  and only one company that offers barge service  
9:08between the islands—Young Brothers. Now, Matson  does operate its own barges that connect some of  
9:14its containers that originated in the mainland  to certain other Hawaiian ports, but the only  
9:18carrier that is currently allowed by the state  to sell container transport services between the  
9:22islands exclusively is Young Brothers. The logic  behind this state-sanctioned monopoly is that  
9:27Hawaii can therefore require Young Brothers to  service unprofitable ports in sparsely-populated  
9:32Lanai and Molokai. And the state also regulates  the rates Young Brothers charges, but they’re  
9:37still an eye-popping sum. Transporting a loaded  container from Honolulu to any of the other ports,  
9:42which typically takes about a day, costs  $1,412.89—as in, twice what shippers are  
9:50currently charging to transport the same  container from Los Angeles to Shanghai. And  
9:56it’s not like there are other Jones-act compliant  barge companies that could replace Young Brothers’  
10:00service at moment’s notice, and the state knows  this—when, in 2020, the company came to the state  
10:05and said the rates they were allowed to charge  would lead to a financial loss of $30 million,  
10:10the state had essentially no option but to agree  to a 46% hike in rates, lest risk losing their  
10:16only way of getting goods between the islands.  The state itself has admitted, in an audit of  
10:21the company, that Young Brothers has gotten  used to being able to pass on any increase in  
10:24cost to the consumers and therefore has little  incentive to be diligent in reducing them.  
10:29So when you combine the geography of isolation  with federal and state legislation that restricts  
10:33competition, one ends up with dramatically higher  costs than those of the mainland. Compare the  
10:39prices of the Whole Foods supermarket in Long  Beach, California—closest to the port where  
10:43much of Hawaii’s goods originate—and that of the  island of Maui. Now, one can find similar prices  
10:49for certain shelf-stable goods—a bottle of olive  oil is just a dollar more in Hawaii, for example.  
10:55But consistently, the fresher something is, the  more expensive it is versus the mainland. Ground  
11:01beef goes from $6.99 to $8.99. Cabbage from $1.49  a pound to $2.79. Lemons from 89 cents to $1.49.  
11:12A pack of eggs from $3.69 to $5.99. As a state, Hawaii imports around  
11:1895% of its food—there is next-to-zero in-state  production—and almost all of that food rides on  
11:25one of two shipping carriers from the mainland,  then one shipping carrier between the islands.  
11:30There certainly are edge cases—a small portion  of food gets flown in by plane, there are some  
11:34imports from abroad—but in sum, there’s  incredible reliance on one single logistics  
11:40system with uniquely, artificially high costs.  But over recent years, state leaders have started  
11:46to recognize that the downsides go beyond just  costs—it’s also just risky. You see, all mainland  
11:53container cargo gets unloaded here, at the port  of Honolulu—with no exception. This is the only  
12:00commercial port in the state that has the cranes  necessary to unload the kind of large, ocean-going  
12:05cargo ships used by Matson and Pasha Hawaii. Those  on the other islands are only capable of accepting  
12:11and unloading smaller barges. So there’s a single  facility capable of bringing large quantities of  
12:17goods into the islands, and it’s on the coast.  That means the fear is two-fold—tsunamis and  
12:23hurricanes. Either of these disasters could  render the cranes used to unload ships inoperable,  
12:28and even if they didn’t, the ports are well within  the possible inundation zones for either meaning  
12:33the surrounding infrastructure—like the roads  used to bring containers out and staff in—could  
12:37be flooded and damaged for an extended period.  Having recognized this, the state did invest in  
12:42a large portable crane capable of unloading  containers, and that’s stored at Pearl  
12:46Harbor—the military base which is earmarked  to operate as an alternate port in the event  
12:50of Honolulu becoming inoperable. But estimates  suggest this plan could only accommodate between  
12:5415-20% of normal cargo inflows, and as the recent  incident at the port of Baltimore demonstrated,  
13:00disruption to port operations can last months.  Of course, airports and roll-on-roll-off ships  
13:06could provide a backstop for necessities  in the event of a major natural disaster,  
13:10but the concentration of infrastructure in the  port of Honolulu means that if it gets damaged  
13:14or disrupted, it could take quite a while  for life in Hawaii to get back to normal.  
13:19But it doesn’t have to be this way—in fact, it  wasn’t. Some 100 miles or 160 kilometers and three  
13:27islands over from Pearl Harbor, along Maui’s dry  west coast, just north of the sunny Keaka Beach,  
13:33and bumping up against the manicured landscape  surrounding the undeniably aging Maui Paradise  
13:37Oceanfront Condo is what visitors describe as a  pleasant wading pool, or a shallow lagoon within  
13:43which one can see small fish and turtles up close.  But what these reviewers missed was the fact that  
13:49this is not just a convenience for tourists but a  historical artifact—a physical explanation for how  
13:55ancient Hawaii fed itself for centuries before  European contact and centuries upon centuries  
14:00before the advent of modern container ships.   This is a coastal fish pond—one of about 360  
14:07that dotted the Hawaiian islands at the time  of James Cook’s arrival in 1778, and one of  
14:11the last vestiges of an intricate aquaculture  structure that stretched from sea to mountain-top. 
14:18Now there’s two major natural particularities  that broadly define the Hawaiian islands. First,  
14:24as a rugged volcanic outcropping, the islands  are generally mountainous, with high points on  
14:28the larger islands ranging from a few thousand  feet above sea level, to well over 10,000 feet  
14:33above sea level. Second, they don’t receive  precipitation evenly—the high country and the  
14:38north and east sides receive feet upon feet of  rain annually, while the dry south western sides  
14:43measure their precipitation in inches. Faced with  rugged uplands and flatter but drier lowlands,  
14:49Hawaiian agriculture took shape around holistic  watersheds—letting gravity do most of the work.  
14:55Following streams gushing out from the  higher elevation forests, Hawaiians would  
14:58strategically dam or divert sections to flood  fields for non-native taro, a carbohydrate-rich  
15:04dietary staple. The growing taro, in turn, would  provide food and shelter for fish such as mullet  
15:09and silver perch—providing yet more food and  nutrients. Water released from these catchments  
15:15would then flow into lower freshwater ponds where  freshwater prawn and sea-migrating fish would  
15:20spawn. In turn, these nutrient-rich waters would  then fill brackish ponds, then seawater ponds,  
15:26connected by canals and separated by gates  from the larger ocean that would let smaller  
15:30fish in without letting bigger fish escape.  With  comparatively minimal alteration of the landscape,  
15:35and with only the strength of a human workforce,  Hawaiians, through aquaculture supplemented with  
15:40animal husbandry and traditional agriculture,  achieved sustainable food sovereignty.   
15:46Of course it goes without saying that such a  system was in part made possible by a markedly  
15:50different property ownership regime, a subsistence  lifestyle rather than an extractive one,  
15:54and a feudal organization of labor that’s long  been left behind. But it also showed that without  
15:59much in the way of technology, and with the  strategic use of non-native crops, Hawaii could  
16:04sustainably produce food for a population that’s  been estimated to have touched 700 to 900,000  
16:10inhabitants at the time of Western contact.    There are only remnants of this aquaculture  
16:15system left today. The arrival of Europeans and  western diseases decimated native populations,  
16:21while western interpretations of land use and  property rights culminated in the 1848 Great  
16:26Māhele, a legal transition of land ownership  from a feudal regime into private property.  
16:32Not far from Kihei, in the city of Lahaina,  once a residence of King Kamehameha III,  
16:37now a city rebuilding after unprecedented  but entirely explainable wildfires, and one  
16:42of these historically central ponds sat under an  unspectacular park and some tennis courts. And not  
16:47so far down the road, standing 225 feet in the  air, is another artifact that largely informed  
16:53the pond’s destruction. While the Jones Act may  explain why food is so expensive to import, it’s  
16:58sugarcane and pineapples that begins to explain  why Hawaii has to import food in the first place.  
17:05For a concentrated few, the proliferation of  steam-powered ships, the advent of the California  
17:09Gold Rush then the American Civil War, and the  newly established ability to purchase Hawaiian  
17:13land in the mid-1800s proved a bonafide bonanza.  With cheap land, cheap labor, minimal oversight,  
17:20and maximum exploitation, the rich arable Hawaiian  lowlands turned from food-producers, to cash crop  
17:26producers as the only agriculture diversity  stemmed from what was being monocropped—sugar  
17:31cane or pineapples. Peaking in the 1950s, the  plantation era dominated Hawaiian agriculture  
17:37for more than a century. Effectively turning a  self sustaining, sovereign food system into a cash  
17:44crop exporter. But with statehood came increased  regulation and labor rights. And with the jet age  
17:49came increased accessibility—suddenly Hawaii  wasn’t some vague American holding impossibly  
17:54far away, but now a tropical destination that  didn’t require a passport. With stricter labor  
18:00laws and higher wages, increased competition for  real estate, and increasing competition abroad,  
18:05monocropping slowly ceded economic centrality  to tourism. With a growing population,  
18:10and an increasing visitor count, Hawaii now  needed more food than ever, and yet after a  
18:15century of relentless exporting, could produce  less than ever. While some small Hawaiian farms  
18:20began to infill shuddering plantation lands, the  cheapest, fastest way to keep the islands fed was  
18:26importing. With beef imports, fruit imports, and  vegetable imports all doubling from 1960 to 2000,  
18:32the islands went from producing somewhere around  half of their own food, to less than a tenth.   
18:37This rather new system has started to have some  real consequences—the Hawaiian cost of living  
18:42crisis is severe—it is the most expensive state to  live in, by a wide margin. And food prices are far  
18:50from all of it—the housing market is perhaps  the biggest contributor to the state’s woes,  
18:55with an $840,000 median home price which, of  course, is also the highest in the nation.  
19:00Estimates suggest that 44% of households in the  state do not earn enough to pay for the absolute  
19:06bare-bones of necessities. After all, much of  the work available is low-wage service-sector  
19:11jobs relating to the tourism industry. So in  consequence, Native Hawaiians—the descendants  
19:16of those who’ve inhabited the islands for a  millenia—are packing up and leaving the state  
19:21en masse. In fact, for the first time, the 2020  Census indicated that the majority of Hawaiians  
19:27now live not in Hawaii, but on the mainland.  But at least, finally, there appears to be some  
19:33recognition that the way Hawaii feeds itself  is broken. Over recent years, the government  
19:38in Honolulu has started to put a concerted effort  into returning things to the way they were—or at  
19:43least moving in that direction. And the timing is  right. Dole’s Oahu plantation stopped production  
19:48in the 90s, and since has transformed into  a tourist destination. Del Monte, another  
19:53agriculture giant, finished its operations in the  state in 2008, while Hawaii’s last sugar mill,  
19:59that of Maui, closed in 2016. So that  means there are huge swaths of former  
20:04plantation land now empty and available,  and the state’s trying to put it to use.  
20:09Maui’s former sugar plantation, for example,  was purchase in 2018 by a company called Maui  
20:14Pono which has converted the fields into  production of lemons, oranges, avocados,  
20:18bananas, onions, and more—a diversified  array of crops grown not for export, but  
20:23rather to be inserted directly into the Hawaiian  supply chain, hitting store shelves at Walmart,  
20:27Costco, Safeway, and other retailers that  otherwise would import from the mainland.  
20:31And this fits into a concerted cross-government  effort to convert plantation land state-wide.  
20:36But it’s really too early to tell whether this is  yielding results—there’s just not enough data yet,  
20:41and local food production also isn’t, in and  of itself, a direct solution to the issues  
20:46presented by the state’s current situation.  The cost of labor is still extremely high,  
20:51so in many cases the cost of locally-grown goods  might be at-par with outside products—the decrease  
20:57in transportation costs is counterbalanced with  the increase in production costs. But it’s a  
21:02start—incremental progress towards reversing  a century of reliance on the mainland.
 It’s  
21:08really quite rare for a country to hold land  so far from its core—there are some instances,  
21:13but most countries’ land is contiguous. It’s  rarer still for that land to be organized not  
21:19as a territory—existing as some separated class  and enjoying some higher level of autonomy—but  
21:24rather as a fully integrated component of the  country itself—in this case, a state. But even  
21:29among those—Réunion, the Canary Islands, and  perhaps a few others—it is even rarer, perhaps  
21:35unprecedented for land so far from the country’s  core to be so deeply integrated—politically,  
21:41economically, and socially—with the rest of it.  It is therefore reasonable to conclude that this  
21:46isn’t natural—it’s a uniquely American thing  to attempt to interlink itself with a series  
21:50of islands so far away. In some ways this has  worked—just look at the strip malls and fast food  
21:57chains and big box retailers. But in actuality,  Hawaii was not truly interlinked with the US—it  
22:03was conquered. There was equilibrium, Hawaii was a  self-sustaining society, until America came in and  
22:11broke that tenuous balance. Decades upon decades  of economic forces have compounded the effects,  
22:17and today the state’s in an unsustainable  state—food, housing, everything just costs too  
22:23much compared to the wages earned in the state.  There’s not yet some grand solution—even increased  
22:28local food production will take ages to induce  meaningful change—but at the very least the state  
22:33now recognizes the problem. The Hawaiian Kingdom  may never return, but Hawaiian self-reliance can.  
22:42As far as American states go, Hawaii is just about  one of the most difficult to research and write  
22:46a fair and accurate script about. With a long,  proud history as an empire itself, and an even  
22:51longer history as independent culture and society  that still persists to this very day, navigating  
22:56and understanding current trends and news events  like the Lahaina wildfires without recognizing,  
23:00and thus replicating, biases on how the rest  of the US understands and often oversimplifies  
23:05Hawaiian current events proved time consuming. It  only makes sense, though, that news outlets that  
23:10rely on clicks to turn advertising revenue present  tragedies like the Lahaina fire in incendiary and  
23:15highly partisan ways. But there is a way to  cut through the slant and the noise—that’s  
23:20Ground News, the sponsor for this video. By  looking into the Lahaina fire with the help of  
23:24Ground News it becomes clear that the centrist  and left-leaning outlets have spent more time  
23:28covering the tragedy, the state’s response to the  tragedy, and the underlying routes of the tragedy,  
23:32while the right has been practically silent on  the topic. With such an imbalance in coverage  
23:37between left and right, Ground News identifies  the topic as a “blind spot,” which is one of my  
23:42favorite features on the platform. With “blind  spot”, users can see what stories aren’t getting  
23:46any representation in left or right leaning news  diets, and can go ahead and view subjects that  
23:50are in their own blindspots—something that  allows me to identify and take in news that  
23:55otherwise wouldn’t be surfaced in my own media  diet. With blind spot, along with features such  
23:59as bias ratings, factuality ratings, and  information on media ownership structures,  
24:03Ground News has helped me identify the limitations  and leanings in my own media diet while also  
24:08helping me find sources for videos like this  that I can really trust. If you’d like to more  
24:12comfortably cut through the misinformation and  political leaning of news stories and sources,  
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