Home
लॉगिन
रजिस्टर
सीखने की सामग्री
Loading...
श्रवण अभ्यास
श्रवण अभ्यास
/
Video
/
TED Talk
/
Predictions don't just forecast the future — they shape it #TEDTalks
Predictions don't just forecast the future — they shape it #TEDTalks
सीखने का मोड चुनें:
उपशीर्षक देखें
शब्द चुनें
शब्द को फिर से लिखें
Highlight:
3000 Oxford Words
4000 IELTS Words
5000 Oxford Words
3000 Common Words
1000 TOEIC Words
5000 TOEFL Words
उपशीर्षक (37)
0:00
Have you noticed how often people who
0:01
make predictions about technology say
0:03
that the future they are describing is
0:06
inevitable?
0:07
That's a red flag. Those predictions are
0:10
designed to act as conversation
0:12
stoppers. They're telling you, "Don't
0:14
question me. Just accept what I'm saying
0:16
as a fact. I'd like for this talk to be
0:19
a conversation starter." Predictions
0:21
invite manipulation. Their power to
0:24
shape the future creates the temptation
0:26
to tamper with it and benefit from it.
0:29
We're facing some pretty grim
0:30
predictions from some of our most
0:32
prominent profits. Larry Ellison, the
0:34
chairman of a predictive software
0:36
company appropriately named Oracle,
0:39
has predicted a modern surveillance
0:41
state in which citizens will be on their
0:44
best behavior because we're being
0:45
watched all the time. But the illusion
0:47
of a world without crime is a world
0:51
filled with a very different kind of
0:53
crime, authoritarianism. What can we do
0:56
to not sleepwalk into it? Plenty
0:59
profits gain their power from people
1:02
believing them. If we decide to defy
1:04
this prediction instead of obeying it,
1:07
we will choose products that are more
1:08
respectful of privacy. For starters,
1:11
first predictions are never facts. They
1:14
are speech acts. Second, they invite
1:17
manipulation.
1:18
Third, they create and cover up
1:21
injustice. Predictions can be weapons of
1:24
power, but they only work if we believe
