US President Donald Trump started a naval blockade. He said Iran's pipelines would explode. This did not happen.

The blockade is hurting Iran's economy.

Iran's oil production has slowed. The currency is very low. Many people have lost their jobs.

Trump said Iran cannot pay its soldiers. The money is worthless.

The question is if the economic effects will be strong enough to make Iran agree to the US terms.

Edward Fishman says the blockade is working. Iran depends on oil exports for money.

Without oil exports, Iran cannot pay employees or buy imports.

The blockade is having a big impact on Iran's economy. It is putting a lot of pressure on the government and people.

Analysts agree the blockade will hurt Iran's economy. They are not sure how long it will take.

Two important factors are how much oil Iran exported before the blockade and how much oil they can store.

Iran has stored at least 140 million barrels of oil on tankers.

This oil can provide Tehran with money until August.

Is this blockade Trump's riskiest move?

Iran has a month of oil storage left at current production levels.

A CIA report says Iran can survive the blockade for 3-4 months.

The regime may be able to handle the economic pressure for longer than expected.

Trump claimed Iran was in a state of collapse 10 days ago.

He said Iran is choking like a stuffed pig.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said oil production shutdowns are coming soon.

Bessent said the blockade will force Iran to shut down oil wells.

The reality is the blockade is having an impact, but not as quickly as claimed.

Fishman says it is not certain the blockade will force Iran to agree to US demands.

Regimes rarely give in to economic pressure. Examples include Venezuela and Syria.

The blockade gives Iran an incentive to negotiate.

A firm that monitors global commodities markets reported a sharp drop in oil loading at Iran's main export terminal.

The fact that Tehran wants the blockade lifted shows it is hurting.

The blockade may not hurt Iran financially now, but it will if it continues.

Fernando Ferreira says Iran's regime prepared for the economic pressure.

They are prepared to hold out for months.

Iran was able to prepare for the blockade because of the high global oil prices.