Before the election, many people thought El-Sayed would win easily. But he only won by a small margin.

I reported on the election from Michigan. I thought the race was getting closer, especially after Governor Gretchen Whitmer endorsed El-Sayed.

I was surprised by the polls that said El-Sayed would win by a lot. But the results showed that the polls were wrong.

The Democratic primary was very competitive.

El-Sayed was expected to win easily, but he only had a small lead on Wednesday morning.

Another candidate, Mallory McMorrow, got 4% of the vote, which was the difference between El-Sayed and Stevens.

The last five public polls said El-Sayed would win by a lot. But the results showed that the polls were wrong.

I talked to many voters in Detroit. They didn't support El-Sayed unless they were already activists.

Many voters in Detroit were skeptical of socialism.

Voters wanted a steady leader who could beat the Republicans, but they didn't want to change the system completely.

These voters were not visible to the pollsters, but they were the majority of Democratic voters.

There needs to be a serious discussion about how journalists use polls and prediction markets.

Elections are like stories, and they have their own arcs. The last week of the campaign should have been about Stevens' comeback.

A poll showed that El-Sayed was leading, but he was behind the likely Republican nominee.

We don't know how many potential Stevens voters stayed home because they thought El-Sayed would win easily.

The national media said El-Sayed would win easily, even with Whitmer's endorsement.

The story of young socialists beating the Democratic establishment was a sexy one, but it may have become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The Republican nominee, Mike Rogers, is happy that El-Sayed won. He wants to run against a socialist-aligned candidate.

El-Sayed's friend, Hasan Piker, made a statement that may hurt El-Sayed's chances.

Piker's statement was not helpful for El-Sayed. He used bad language and insulted people who didn't support El-Sayed.

This is not a good sign for the Democratic Party.

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The race between Rogers and El-Sayed will be close. The media needs to be more careful when reporting on polls.

You can read more of my articles on our website.

I am a columnist and the author of a book about COVID-19.